Nifty:10288 weekly 2nd July 2020

11th June weekly series ready for expiry

Nifty:10116
Expected range: 100050 to 10250

4th June weekly series ready for expiry

Ready for Expiry near 10150

Expiry was weak  -30 points 

04-Jun-2020

10054.25

10123.85

9944.25

10029.10

21 May weekly series ready for expiry

Nifty:9066
20 May 2020

edited values: Nifty expired in a small range of 122 points with a gain + 40

21-May-2020

9079.45

9178.55

9056.10

9106.25

Nifty:8870
19May 2020

Nifty:9137

if trading below Nifty may find sub 9000 level 8950

Nifty weekly option chart

How to Use Volatility ratios to find target

Helo Friends,
How to Use Volatility ratios to find target.
Find Volatility by Standard divination of 10 days Closing price
Eg: Nifty take 11 days closing price and prepare a table in excel

1) 11201.75

2) 10989.45    =LN(1/2)           =(LN1/2)^2

3) 9955.2        =LN(2/3)           ----Do

4) 8745.45      =LN(3/4)           ----Do

5) 8660.25      =LN(4/5)           ----Do

6) 8083.8        =LN(5/6)           ----Do

7) 9111.9        =LN(6/7)            ----Do

8) 9266.75     =LN(7/8)            ----Do

9) 9154.4       =LN(8/9)             ----Do

10) 9859.9     =LN(9/10)          ----Do

11) 9251.5     =LN(10/11)         =(LN10/11)^2

12)                =AVERAGE(2 -11)=AVERAGE(2 -11)

13)                =(avrg og LN -  avrg of LN^2) To find variance 

14)                =SQRT( variance)          finally you get the volatility

Once you find the volatility, multiply this with nifty last closing price you will get base value.
Now use the smart ratios .0146 ,0.236, 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.27, 1.618 etc to find possible targets.
Close price + (base x smart ratio) will be our target.
Be smart to use appropriate ratios based on market conditions.
currently am using the lowest 4 ratios as the market in trading range bound

This is the result we are getting for the day  and week ending 15/05/2020

Nifty: 9143
14May 2020

21-May-2020

9079.45

9178.55

9056.10

9106.25

Nifty:9383.55
Ready for Expiry.

Expiry

14-May-2020

9213.95

9281.10

9119.75

9142.75

-241 

OIChart 20200512

Nifty :9196 OIChart 

hi

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hi

 

Hello

 

 

Thanks

 

hi

My confidence is that nifty will move higher.r congratulations


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SANGHVIMOV watch list

SANGHVIMOV

ECLERX:1246 watch list

ECLERX:  watch 1246 level

Natco Pharma Ltd: ₹706 Watch list

Natco Pharma Ltd: ₹706 Can come down to 50% retracement level, having a confluence with the bottom TL. Support: ₹600.

 

Market Cap.: ₹ 12,498.74 Cr.
Current Price: ₹ 717.05
Book Value: ₹ 105.02
Stock P/E: 23.48
Dividend Yield: 0.17%
Face Value: ₹ 2.00
52 Week High/Low: ₹ 1,090.00 / ₹ 493.25
Return on capital employed: 20.25%
Quick ratio: 0.82
Dividend Payout: 14.03%
Number of equity shares: 17.43
EPS: ₹ 30.54
Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 16.12
Debt to equity: 0.09
Reserves: ₹ 1,263.50 Cr.

Sanghvi Movers watch List

Sanghvi Movers Ltd: ₹146
A consolidation phase has to be completed for new entry.
May be around ₹120 level, the falling TL support will protect price.

Just ONE quarter with normal 20cr Net profit will change every thing up. So be watchful  for a move any time.

 

 

Market Cap.: ₹ 644.30 Cr.

Current Price: ₹ 148.80

Book Value: ₹ 198.09

Stock P/E: 8.02

Dividend Yield: 2.69%

Face Value: ₹ 2.00

52 Week High/Low: ₹ 305.00 / ₹ 195.35

Return on capital employed: 16.26%

Quick ratio: 1.39

Dividend Payout: 15.86%

Number of equity shares: 4.33

EPS: ₹ 18.55

Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 8.25

Debt to equity: 0.62

Reserves: ₹ 852.70 Cr.

 

 

 

 

 

Dhanuka Agritech Ltd watch List

Dhanuka Agritech Ltd: ₹677 is at 50% of the last bullrun, and doesn’t show ant consolidation phase, can come down to 62% level around ₹600

 

Market Cap.: ₹ 3,411.75 Cr.

Current Price: ₹ 682.35

Book Value: ₹ 107.20

Stock P/E: 29.36

Dividend Yield: 0.09%

Face Value: ₹ 2.00

52 Week High/Low: ₹ 929.80 / ₹ 580.00

Return on capital employed: 36.12%

Quick ratio: 1.59

Dividend Payout: 2.46%

Number of equity shares: 5.00

EPS: ₹ 23.24

Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 12.27  (is the attraction, worth investing at support level)

Debt to equity: 0.02

Reserves: ₹ 510.04 Cr.

MCX Watch List

MCX trading in a descending triangle. A pitchfork channel and its trigger line is broken two times.

Strong resistance at 1139.  A break below 1030 MCX can come down to 900 again.

That is the technical view. Now the fundamental says that a 100% rise in the profit only can change the scenario soon

 

 

GANN Financial Time Table

NIFTY OUT LOOK

For MON 20170904

Nifty: 9974 Day Pivot: 9956  is trading at the long tern trend line resistance line. MACD is showing a positive crossover , while moving above the zero line  is positive,

Last week i was expecting nifty to find a lower target, but if nifty is successful to trade above the trend line it can turn bullish

 Above 10001 today’s Resistance are 10018_10044 &10071

Below 9948 today’s Supports are 9930_9905 & 9878

Weekly above 10033 Nifty’ Resistances will be 10069_10127 &10185

Weekly below 9916 Nifty’ Supports will be 9880_9822 & 9763

Monthly above 10090 Nifty Resistances will be10163_10279&10396

Monthly below 9858 Nifty Supports 9786_ 9669 & 9553