Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

4th June weekly series ready for expiry

Ready for Expiry near 10150

Expiry was weak  -30 points 
04-Jun-2020 10054.25    10123.85  9944.25   10029.10

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

21 May weekly series ready for expiry

Nifty:9066
20 May 2020






edited values: Nifty expired in a small range of 122 points with a gain + 40

21-May-2020   9079.45   9178.55   9056.10   9106.25

Friday, May 15, 2020

Nifty:9137
if trading below Nifty may find sub 9000 level 8950


Nifty weekly option chart


How to Use Volatility ratios to find target

Helo Friends,
How to Use Volatility ratios to find target.
Find Volatility by Standard divination of 10 days Closing price
Eg: Nifty take 11 days closing price and prepare a table in excel

1) 11201.75
2) 10989.45    =LN(1/2)           =(LN1/2)^2
3) 9955.2        =LN(2/3)           ----Do
4) 8745.45      =LN(3/4)           ----Do
5) 8660.25      =LN(4/5)           ----Do
6) 8083.8        =LN(5/6)           ----Do
7) 9111.9        =LN(6/7)            ----Do
8) 9266.75     =LN(7/8)            ----Do
9) 9154.4       =LN(8/9)             ----Do
10) 9859.9     =LN(9/10)          ----Do
11) 9251.5     =LN(10/11)         =(LN10/11)^2
12)                =AVERAGE(2 -11)=AVERAGE(2 -11)
13)                =(avrg og LN -  avrg of LN^2) To find variance 
14)                =SQRT( variance)          finally you get the volatility


Once you find the volatility, multiply this with nifty last closing price you will get base value.
Now use the smart ratios .0146 ,0.236, 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.27, 1.618 etc to find possible targets.
Close price + (base x smart ratio) will be our target.
Be smart to use appropriate ratios based on market conditions.
currently am using the lowest 4 ratios as the market in trading range bound



This is the result we are getting for the day  and week ending 15/05/2020


Thursday, May 14, 2020

Nifty: 9143
14May 2020


21-May-2020     9079.45   9178.55    9056.10   9106.25

Nifty:9383.55
Ready for Expiry.

Expiry
14-May-2020     

9213.95

      9281.10

  9119.75

    9142.75

-241 

Gann Date combination for Nifty from 7511 bottom on 24.march 2020

 Gann Dates falling  from the bottom 7511 on 24/3/2020