market doom

bse below 17000 today

WHERE TO INVEST?

WHERE TO INVEST? STOCKS.... AND HOW IT WORKS? FOR THE BIGINERS Stock is an instrument that signifies an ownership position (calledequity) in a corporation, and represents a claim on its proportionalshare in the corporation's assets and profits. ownership in thecompany is determined by the number of shares a person owns divided bythe total number of shares outstanding. for example, if a company has1000 shares of stock outstanding and a person owns 50 of them, then Weowns 5% of the company. also called equity or equity securities orcorporate stock. Share = Certificate representing one unit of ownership in acorporation, mutual fund, or limited partnership.Stock market = General term for the organized trading of stocksthrough exchanges and over-the-counter. Trading = Buying and selling securities or commodities on a short-term basis, hoping to make quick profits. Investing = In finance, the purchase of a financial product or otheritem of value with an expectation of favorable future returns. Ingeneral terms, investment means the use money in the hope of makingmore money. Company Income =Revenues minus cost of sales, operating expenses, andtaxes, over a given period of time. Earnings are the reasoncorporations exist, and are often the single most importantdeterminant of a stock's price. Earnings are important to investorsbecause they give an indication of the company's expected futuredividends and its potential for growth and capital appreciation. Thatdoes not necessarily mean that low or negative earnings alwaysindicate a bad stock; for example, many young companies reportnegative earnings as they attempt to grow quickly enough to capture anew market, at which point they'll be even more profitable than theyotherwise might have been. also called income. Or revenue= For a company, this is the total amount of money receivedby the company for goods sold or services provided during a certaintime period. It also includes all net sales, exchange of assets;interest and any other increase in owner's equity and is calculatedbefore any expenses are subtracted. Net income can be calculated bysubtracting expenses from revenue. In terms of reporting revenue in acompany's financial statements, different companies consider revenueto be received, or "recognized", different ways. For example, revenuecould be recognized when a deal is signed, when the money is received,when the services are provided, or at other times. There are rule sspecifying when revenue should be recognized in different situationsfor companies using different accounting methods, such as cash basisand accrual basis.Intrinsic valueThe actual value of a security, as opposed to its market price or bookvalue. The intrinsic value includes other variables such as brandname, trademarks, and copyrights that are often difficult to calculateand sometimes not accurately reflected in the market price. One way tolook at it is that the market capitalization is the price (i.e. whatinvestors are willing to pay for the company) and intrinsic value isthe value (i.e. what the company is really worth). Different investorsuse different techniques to calculate intrinsic value. Speculation and price... PE & EPS Earnings per Share. Total earnings divided by the number of sharesoutstanding. Companies often use a weighted average of sharesoutstanding over the reporting term. EPS can be calculated for theprevious year ("trailing EPS"), for the current year ("current EPS"),or for the coming year ("forward EPS"). Note that last year's EPSwould be actual, while current year and forward year EPS would beestimates.price/earnings ratio. The most common measure of how expensive a stockis. The P/E ratio is equal to a stock's market capitalization dividedby its after-tax earnings over a 12-month period, usually the trailingperiod but occasionally the current or forward period. The value isthe same whether the calculation is done for the whole company or on aper-share basis. For example, the P/E ratio of company A with a shareprice of $10 and earnings per share of $2 is 5. The higher the P/Eratio, the more the market is willing to pay for each dollar of annualearnings. Companies with high P/E ratios are more likely to beconsidered "risky" investments than those with low P/E ratios, since ahigh P/E ratio signifies high expectations. Comparing P/E ratios ismost valuable for companies within the same industry. The last year'sprice/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) would be actual, while current yearand forward year price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) would be estimates,but in each case, the "P" in the equation is the current price.Companies that are not currently profitable (that is, ones which havenegative earnings) don't have a P/E ratio at all. also called earningsmultiplewhere as speculation is Taking large risks, especially with respect totrying to predict the future; gambling, in the hopes of making quick,large gains. CMP = The current market price is a speculated rate.The highest amount any buyer is currently willing to pay for a share.This amount might be at a premium (above face value) or a discount(below face value). SO ONE MUST FIND A STOCK AT CHEAP PRICE FOR INVESTING FOR GOOD RETURNS. PADIYARA CONT.... HOW TO INVEST?

LEARN THE MARKET TO EARN MILLIONS

LEARN THE MARKET TO EARN MILLIONS HOW YOU THINK PEOPLE ARE MAKING MILLIONS? THEY INVEST. THEY INVEST MONEY THEY INVEST TIME THEY INVEST SKILL AN SO ON.. WHAT IF YOU DONT HAVE MONEY? YOU CANNOT MAKE MONEY... QUITE NATURAL... BUT WE ARE HERE TO MAKE MONEY. SO WAHT IS NEXT... EITHER YOU BORROW MONEY OR YOU COLLECT FUND. IF YOU BORROW MONEY YOU HAVE TO PAY INTREST AND YOU WILL PAY FOR THE PRESSURE! AND FINALLY YOUR EARNING WILL BE VERY NOMINAL OR EVEN YOU MAY LOOSE. eg: THERE IS A PROPERTY TO SELL AT LOW PRICE AND THE OWNER IS IN A PRESSURE TO SELL IT SOON. SAY A CAR 2004 IN VERY GOOD CONDITION JUST FOR ONE LAKH.AND YOU KNOW THAT IT WORTH MORE (MAY BE 1 1/2 LAKH FOR EXAMPLE ONY) BUT YOU DONT HAVE FULL CASH. YOU HAVE SOME 10K AND YOU COLLECT A FUND FROM YOUR FRIENDS AND MAKE THE DEAL. YOU WAIT FOR A RIGHT PRICE YOU SELL IT IN PROFIT AND YOU SHARE THE PROFIT PROPOTIONATLY. BUT IF YOU HAVE BORROWED MONEY THINGS WOULD HAVE BEEN DIFFERENT. NOW IF YOU DONT HAVE TIME? THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT THAN WHAT YOU THINK! THIS TIME IS TO GENERATE INCOME. THAT IS NOT THERE INTHEABOVE STORY. BUT DEFINITLY IN STOCKS. SO, IF YOU CANNOT WAIT THEN YOU TRADE INTRADAY. WHAT YOU THINK THE MONEY COME FROM? IF YOU ARE PROFITED MEANS SOME LOSER MUST BE THERE ON THE OTHER SIDE. FINALY WHAT IDEA YOU GET NOW?. SOME ONE GAIN SOME LOOSE. THE SYSTEM RUNNERS AN BROKERS EARN MUCH BETTER THAN YOU. JUST YOU ASK ANY 10 FRIENDS WHO DO TRADING. IT IS FROM MY EXPERIENCE I AM SPEAKING HERE. YOU GAIN ONE DAY TWO DAY ONE WEEK ...CONSISTENLY WITH ALL CAUTION. AND YOU CHANGE NOW YOUR EMOTION ...YOU CHANGE YOUR CONFIDENCE CHANGE AND ONE FINE MORNING YOU TRADE WILL TURNIN TO LOSS AND IT WILLTAKE ALL YOUR GAIN OF ONE WEEK AND EVEN MORE. GET ME? AND WHAT IF YOU DONT HAVE SKILL? YOU BUY SKILL... YOU PAY FOR TIPS OR YOU JOIN WITH A GOOD MUTUAL FUND. HERE AGAIN YOU ARE A LOOSER.. YOU DONT GET THE VALUE FOR YOUR MONEY. SOME ONE DRAINS YOUR PROFIT. THE SUPPOSED TO BE PROFIT IS MORE. BUT YOU WONT GET IT SURE. ANY SOLUTION? YES.. INVEST YOUR MONEY IN VALUE STOCKS FOR LONG TERM. INVEST CONSISTENTLY. LET THE COMPANY GROW LET THE MARKET GROW. TEHN YOUR INVESTMENT WILL ALSO BE DOUBLED. BUT CAUTION HERE THE SHARE PRICE YOU BOUGHT THE STOCK OR NOW WITH THE ASSUMED GAIN your holding VALE.. ALL ARE NOT AN INTRINSIC VALUE, IT IS ALL SPECULATED RATE. SO YOU HAVE TO COME OUT AT A COMFORTABLE LEVEL COMFORTABLE PRICE. KEEP IN CASH.. WAIT FOR THE OPPERTUNITTY.. AGAIN ENTER AT LOW PRICE... AGAIN GO ON INVESTING... GO ON PROFITING NOW WATCH THE MARKET... REALY SPEAKING WATCH THE MARKET IT IS GOING DOWN...RIGHT? NOW SELECT YOUR SCRIPS.. FIND A LEVEL ON YOUR OWN... A PRIVOUS BOTTOM OR A TREND LINE BOTTOM ANYTHING LIKE THAT. DONT WORRY.... MOST OF THEM ARE ALREADY IN 30 TO 40 % DISCOUNT FROM ITS RECENT TOP. AS LONG AS THE COMPANY HAS A REVENEW FLOW >30% YOU WILL BE IN GAIN. COMMENTS GIVE ME AN OPPERTUNITY TO THINK MORE AND DO BETTER. HOW EVER GOOD OR BAD I WELCOME YOU WITH A COMMENT. PADIYARA cont... WHERE TO INVEST?

bse friiday

Even though budget expected to be a populist one wth tax cuts and rebates, investors have little to cheer up. With a negative economic data and weak global market cue we are going to fall further. The challenges of inflation, the slowdown in the GDP etc remains as negative factors & Now our FM confirms that capital inflow diminishes. An increase in STT or something like that may fuel the fire more. End of week end ofmonth

bse thursdy

Hi friends Market is in trouble No pre buddget rally, no optimism and no more enthusiasm. A contracting triangle is a continuation model. So not to hope much up side. If cross bottom line near 17500 we may fall deep like 16457, 15332 and even more. Today if open above 17900 and trading above 18075 we still can hope better move Expecting a negative opening near 17700 Target 17685 to 18050

bse wed

Sensex is at strong resistance now . A flat opening is expected near 17675 and a break out is soon expected. Target 18075

EXPECTING A GAP UP OPENING ARROUND 17750 TARGET ABOVE 18075 BSE FACING RSI RESISTANCE Comments

Monday, February 25, 2008 10:54 AM - BSE WEEKLY SUPPORT Category: Friends LOOK AT THE WEEKLY SUPPORTS IN BSE AND WATCH THE OIL SURGE PRESSURE

Comments

monday BSE

Hi Friends UNLIKE the world market we may fall today to 17050 bcoz there is room left for a fall and the 200 dma is arround 17020 if it is not supported we will fall deep 16457 ,15332 and more. if it is trading above 17300 for an hour then we have a chance to cross 17500 and a prebudjet rally is expected up to 18000 this week Not a prediction just a probability Last week we find many false signs and finally we reached near the bottom trend line of the symmetrical triangle. It may rebound after touching the bottom line to 18 k level. But the present sentiment doesn't support this discernment. We aren't sure how it will resolve the issue.Predicting the direction of market is difficult here. who care weather it goes this way or the other. But when our money is put on bet ,then it is a real apprehension. The targets are only a probability based on recent accomplishments, global market cues, the moving patterns like channels, trnd lines so on. But what is the present events and how it will evolve when the news pull in up to the investors.My opinion the market in going to face a break down. Negative… the inflation data not in favorNegative….the GDP growth data not in favorNegative….the foretell rate cut not going to favorNegative…. the oil price hike is a concern.What we read from this now? market may fall in to a deep well. Then the investors absorband we may see a good resurrection based on a market friendly budget expectation from tuesday. The false signs last week Comments

index gold crude iff ifn and the dollar week end charts

Index charts at the week end

BSE dailt &weekly chart BSEweekly

Gold dly

Gold wkly Oil dly

OIl wkly

morgan stanley india fund daily and weekly

India fund daily and weekly And dollar daily & weekly

dollar is coming up now

$weekly

BSEfriday

Dear friends Sentiments transforms in moments. We have a negative perspective now. Bse will open negative below17600 and a close will also be in negative. We have stromg support @ 17500 and then 17265 Below this the target is 17200

brkout..in minutes chrat (looks like 5min)

what the indicator says now?

HALO FRIENDS

ALL ALONG THE DAY WE WERE TRADING LOW YESTERDAY AND THE LAST HOUR SHOWES SOME REBOUND.

THE INDEX FALL FUTHER TO MY EXPETATION.

TODAY THE MARKET WILL BE TRADING IN A RANGE

17200 - 17800

WE HAVE A SUPPORT AT 17265 AND THE TREND LINE

SUPPORT AT 17000

IT MAY TOUCH THE BOTTOM 17000SOME TIME AND A CLOSE IS EXPECTED IN GREEN ARROUND 17650

THE GOLD AND OIL GOING UP

The US market open negative yesterday on worries over cpi datas but recovered in the after noon. fed go on lowered lowerd and there in no room left now. Stocks rise after the Federal Reserve signalled a willingness to keep cutting interest rates & investors seemed to absorb unpleasant signals Oil closed above $100 for the first time Tuesday killing a stock market rally and renewing wall streets inflation concerns. Reality… while the up tick in housing starts could indicate a bottom investors can't be sure until they get further data, including figures on sales of new and existing homes due next week! Inventories remain at high levels which is worrisome. Tough lending norms, an unfavorable primary market and sub prime woes may squeeze the money flow to the domestic property market. Until the inventory issue gets addressed its going to be hard for starts to start moving higher.

Negative global cues.. Clusters of resistance.. Failure to cross tru the gap res: in a faster way… market wth a negative note will open below 18000. Below 17900 the target will be 17690.

if the market canot sustain above 18000 it will take us to 16k andd below by next week A pull back rally turns as the sentiments change… now let us hope to bring new sentiment by chidammohan..NEED TIME

BSE TODAY

BSE WILL OPEN WITH POSITIVE NOTE ABOVE 18274 TARGET 18450 After the breakout from the falling trend line the index took a pause above the downtrend line of the sym:trinagle. Supported 20 day ema. Index can go thru the resistance today, or may close the gap if the closing is above18274 Then we hvae a chance to touch the up trend channel.. as posted earlier 19552 The macd and other incators are in positive direction. BUT RSI resistance is at 50

Remember we are in a BEAR market t& this is a pullback rally only

Padiyara

DEAR FRIENDS IIF AND IFN ARE TWO MAJOR FORGIN FUND INVESTED IN INDIAN MARKET, HAVE GOT BETTER CORELATION MOST OF THE TIME. AND IF IT SHOW BULLISH SIGH THEN IT CAN RIPPLE IN DALAL STREET TOO.

PLEASE TELL ME IF THIE GRAPH LOOK LIKE A JUNK. THE MAIN BODY IS THE PRICE CHART WITH VOL, 200MA ,50MA ,21MA WITH THAT I OVER LAYED THE MACD TO MAKE THE SIZE SMALL

BSE WEEKEND VIEW

HI FRIENDS SUPPER BRK OUT FROM FALLING LINE. FORGET 17000,LOW WAS 17445 NOT EVEN 17400. NOW ANY CHARTIST MAY HOPE BSE TO MOVE UP TO 20 K IN COMING DAYS TO TOUCH THE RAISING GREEN CHANEL. BUT WE HAVE STONG GAP RES @ 18274. THAT WAS BEHIND MY 18300 EXPAECTAION. ALSO rsI HAS RES @ 50 AND STOCHA ALSO AT OVER SOLD. NOW MAKE IT CLEAR IF 18274 CROSS (AM GOING PRECISE) WE CAN HIT 19552.

DISCLAIMER, CONDITION WHAT NOT ALL APPLIED

MY PRIVOUS POST

Bernnenke couldnt useful to be act as a catalyst for the rally. and bse also may go back to 17000 if it fail to cross the faliing trend line today... oh my levl r just to say direction.. i am learning know.. like yesterday i said 18000 coz 17963 was the 61,8% fibo of preceeding fall, so not to be precise in all that...

opening will be below pviot 17623

gap support at 17265

target 17400

but who care the supports when things go wrong..

the last support is Dallal st:

HI FRIENDS

RELIANCE MAY HAVE A BREAK OUT FROM THE TREND LINE TOMORROW. TARGET 2550 & 2650L: 2360

BAJAJHIND SEEM TO BE A GOOD SHORTING SCRIP

TARGET 140 & 117

SL:255

The bounce is expected start today & one can think of exiting the remaining LONGs at arround 18000. BSE_sensex ..{weekend post inserted)