Even though budget expected to be a populist one wth tax cuts and rebates, investors have little to cheer up. With a negative economic data and weak global market cue we are going to fall further. The challenges of inflation, the slowdown in the GDP etc remains as negative factors & Now our FM confirms that capital inflow diminishes. An increase in STT or something like that may fuel the fire more.
End of week end ofmonth
Friday, February 29, 2008
Thursday, February 28, 2008
bse thursdy
Hi friends
Market is in trouble
No pre buddget rally, no optimism and no more enthusiasm. A contracting triangle is a continuation model. So not to hope much up side.
If cross bottom line near 17500 we may fall deep like 16457, 15332 and even more.
Today if open above 17900 and trading above 18075 we still can hope better move
Expecting a negative opening near 17700
Target 17685 to 18050
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
bse wed
Monday, February 25, 2008
monday BSE
Hi Friends
UNLIKE the world market we may fall today to 17050
bcoz there is room left for a fall and the 200 dma is arround 17020
if it is not supported we will fall deep 16457 ,15332 and more.
if it is trading above 17300 for an hour then we have a chance to cross 17500 and a prebudjet rally is expected up to 18000 this week
Not a prediction just a probability
Last week we find many false signs and finally we reached near the bottom trend line of the symmetrical triangle. It may rebound after touching the bottom line to 18 k level. But the present sentiment doesn't support this discernment. We aren't sure how it will resolve the issue.Predicting the direction of market is difficult here. who care weather it goes this way or the other. But when our money is put on bet ,then it is a real apprehension.
The targets are only a probability based on recent accomplishments, global market cues, the moving patterns like channels, trnd lines so on. But what is the present events and how it will evolve when the news pull in up to the investors.My opinion the market in going to face a break down.
Negative… the inflation data not in favorNegative….the GDP growth data not in favorNegative….the foretell rate cut not going to favorNegative…. the oil price hike is a concern.What we read from this now? market may fall in to a deep well. Then the investors absorband we may see a good resurrection based on a market friendly budget expectation from tuesday.
The false signs last week
Comments
Saturday, February 23, 2008
Friday, February 22, 2008
BSEfriday
Dear friends
Sentiments transforms in moments.
We have a negative perspective now.
Bse will open negative below17600 and a close will also be in negative.
We have stromg support @ 17500 and then 17265
Below this the target is 17200
brkout..in minutes chrat (looks like 5min)
what the indicator says now?
Thursday, February 21, 2008
HALO FRIENDS
ALL ALONG THE DAY WE WERE TRADING LOW YESTERDAY AND THE LAST HOUR SHOWES SOME REBOUND.
THE INDEX FALL FUTHER TO MY EXPETATION.
TODAY THE MARKET WILL BE TRADING IN A RANGE
17200 - 17800
WE HAVE A SUPPORT AT 17265 AND THE TREND LINE
SUPPORT AT 17000
IT MAY TOUCH THE BOTTOM 17000SOME TIME AND A CLOSE IS EXPECTED IN GREEN ARROUND 17650
THE GOLD AND OIL GOING UP
The US market open negative yesterday on worries over cpi datas but recovered in the after noon. fed go on lowered lowerd and there in no room left now. Stocks rise after the Federal Reserve signalled a willingness to keep cutting interest rates & investors seemed to absorb unpleasant signals
Oil closed above $100 for the first time Tuesday killing a stock market rally and renewing wall streets inflation concerns.
Reality… while the up tick in housing starts could indicate a bottom investors can't be sure until they get further data, including figures on sales of new and existing homes due next week!
Inventories remain at high levels which is worrisome.
Tough lending norms, an unfavorable primary market and sub prime woes may squeeze the money flow to the domestic property market.
Until the inventory issue gets addressed its going to be hard for starts to start moving higher.
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
BSE TODAY
BSE WILL OPEN WITH POSITIVE NOTE ABOVE 18274
TARGET 18450
After the breakout from the falling trend line the index took a pause above the downtrend line of the sym:trinagle. Supported 20 day ema. Index can go thru the resistance today, or may close the gap if the closing is above18274
Then we hvae a chance to touch the up trend channel.. as posted earlier 19552
The macd and other incators are in positive direction. BUT RSI resistance is at 50
Remember we are in a BEAR market t& this is a pullback rally only
Padiyara
Sunday, February 17, 2008
Friday, February 15, 2008
BSE WEEKEND VIEW
HI FRIENDS
SUPPER BRK OUT FROM FALLING LINE. FORGET 17000,LOW WAS 17445 NOT EVEN 17400.
NOW ANY CHARTIST MAY HOPE BSE TO MOVE UP TO 20 K IN COMING DAYS TO TOUCH THE RAISING GREEN CHANEL. BUT WE HAVE STONG GAP RES @ 18274.
THAT WAS BEHIND MY 18300 EXPAECTAION. ALSO rsI HAS RES @ 50 AND STOCHA ALSO AT OVER SOLD.
NOW MAKE IT CLEAR IF 18274 CROSS (AM GOING PRECISE) WE CAN HIT 19552.
Bernnenke couldnt useful to be act as a catalyst for the rally. and bse also may go back to 17000 if it fail to cross the faliing trend line today...
oh my levl r just to say direction.. i am learning know.. like yesterday i said 18000 coz 17963 was the 61,8% fibo of preceeding fall,
so not to be precise in all that...
opening will be below pviot 17623
gap support at 17265
target 17400
but who care the supports when things go wrong..
the last support is Dallal st:
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Sunday, February 10, 2008
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