Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Gann Date combination for Nifty from 7511 bottom on 24.march 2020

 Gann Dates falling  from the bottom 7511 on 24/3/2020



Wednesday, June 03, 2020

4th June weekly series ready for expiry

Ready for Expiry near 10150

Expiry was weak  -30 points 
04-Jun-2020 10054.25    10123.85  9944.25   10029.10

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

21 May weekly series ready for expiry

Nifty:9066
20 May 2020






edited values: Nifty expired in a small range of 122 points with a gain + 40

21-May-2020   9079.45   9178.55   9056.10   9106.25

Friday, May 15, 2020

Nifty:9137
if trading below Nifty may find sub 9000 level 8950


Nifty weekly option chart


How to Use Volatility ratios to find target

Helo Friends,
How to Use Volatility ratios to find target.
Find Volatility by Standard divination of 10 days Closing price
Eg: Nifty take 11 days closing price and prepare a table in excel

1) 11201.75
2) 10989.45    =LN(1/2)           =(LN1/2)^2
3) 9955.2        =LN(2/3)           ----Do
4) 8745.45      =LN(3/4)           ----Do
5) 8660.25      =LN(4/5)           ----Do
6) 8083.8        =LN(5/6)           ----Do
7) 9111.9        =LN(6/7)            ----Do
8) 9266.75     =LN(7/8)            ----Do
9) 9154.4       =LN(8/9)             ----Do
10) 9859.9     =LN(9/10)          ----Do
11) 9251.5     =LN(10/11)         =(LN10/11)^2
12)                =AVERAGE(2 -11)=AVERAGE(2 -11)
13)                =(avrg og LN -  avrg of LN^2) To find variance 
14)                =SQRT( variance)          finally you get the volatility


Once you find the volatility, multiply this with nifty last closing price you will get base value.
Now use the smart ratios .0146 ,0.236, 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.27, 1.618 etc to find possible targets.
Close price + (base x smart ratio) will be our target.
Be smart to use appropriate ratios based on market conditions.
currently am using the lowest 4 ratios as the market in trading range bound



This is the result we are getting for the day  and week ending 15/05/2020


Thursday, May 14, 2020

Nifty: 9143
14May 2020


21-May-2020     9079.45   9178.55    9056.10   9106.25

Nifty:9383.55
Ready for Expiry.

Expiry
14-May-2020     

9213.95

      9281.10

  9119.75

    9142.75

-241 

Friday, November 30, 2018

hi

My confidence is that nifty will move higher.r congratulations


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Monday, September 04, 2017

Natco Pharma Ltd: ₹706 Watch list


Natco Pharma Ltd: ₹706 Can come down to 50% retracement level, having a confluence with the bottom TL. Support: ₹600.
 
Market Cap.: ₹ 12,498.74 Cr.
Current Price: ₹ 717.05
Book Value: ₹ 105.02
Stock P/E: 23.48
Dividend Yield: 0.17%
Face Value: ₹ 2.00
52 Week High/Low: ₹ 1,090.00 / ₹ 493.25
Return on capital employed: 20.25%
Quick ratio: 0.82
Dividend Payout: 14.03%
Number of equity shares: 17.43
EPS: ₹ 30.54
Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 16.12
Debt to equity: 0.09
Reserves: ₹ 1,263.50 Cr.

Sanghvi Movers watch List

Sanghvi Movers Ltd: ₹146
A consolidation phase has to be completed for new entry.
May be around ₹120 level, the falling TL support will protect price.


Just ONE quarter with normal 20cr Net profit will change every thing up. So be watchful  for a move any time.
 
 
Market Cap.: ₹ 644.30 Cr.
Current Price: ₹ 148.80
Book Value: ₹ 198.09
Stock P/E: 8.02
Dividend Yield: 2.69%
Face Value: ₹ 2.00
52 Week High/Low: ₹ 305.00 / ₹ 195.35
Return on capital employed: 16.26%
Quick ratio: 1.39
Dividend Payout: 15.86%
Number of equity shares: 4.33
EPS: ₹ 18.55
Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 8.25
Debt to equity: 0.62
Reserves: ₹ 852.70 Cr.

 
 

 

 
 







Dhanuka Agritech Ltd watch List


Dhanuka Agritech Ltd: ₹677 is at 50% of the last bullrun, and doesn’t show ant consolidation phase, can come down to 62% level around ₹600

 
Market Cap.: ₹ 3,411.75 Cr.
Current Price: ₹ 682.35
Book Value: ₹ 107.20
Stock P/E: 29.36
Dividend Yield: 0.09%
Face Value: ₹ 2.00
52 Week High/Low: ₹ 929.80 / ₹ 580.00
Return on capital employed: 36.12%
Quick ratio: 1.59
Dividend Payout: 2.46%
Number of equity shares: 5.00
EPS: ₹ 23.24
Expected quarterly EPS: ₹ 12.27  (is the attraction, worth investing at support level)
Debt to equity: 0.02
Reserves: ₹ 510.04 Cr.

MCX Watch List


MCX trading in a descending triangle. A pitchfork channel and its trigger line is broken two times.

Strong resistance at 1139.  A break below 1030 MCX can come down to 900 again.

That is the technical view. Now the fundamental says that a 100% rise in the profit only can change the scenario soon
 
 

Gann Date combination for Nifty from 7511 bottom on 24.march 2020

 Gann Dates falling  from the bottom 7511 on 24/3/2020